Tuesday, 8 January 2008

Trauma at Tramore

If it looks too good to be true........

Another example of why I/R traders are wary of Irish racing. Tramore is a sharp track, necessitating 3 circuits for a 3 mile chase. Most tracks are 2 circuits for this distance, something obviously ingrained in the small brains of leading jocks(but rare visitors to Tramore) Davy Russell and Davy Condon who went flat out for the lollipop a circuit early, and causing less experience riders in the race to cast doubts aside and join in, the upshot being all 14 horses pulling up a circuit early.

Shrewdies who were aware of this were able to lay the 'winner' at 1.8 safe in the knowledge that the result could not stand. Anyone who availed themselves of what seemed the amazing value of 1.8 about a clear winner should have smelled a large rodent(1.01 being the normal price on the line). Backers worst fears were confirmed when half a dozen runners started off on the 3rd circuit, no doubt galvanised by shouts from angry billy-bunters of 'you ******* dwarf ****, gerron withit'.
The eventual winner traded at 350/1, but only for small amounts, as traders were understandably wary of participating in a farce.

Afterwards a shocked and stunned Davy Russell, who thought he had won, was interviewed by ATR's David Duggan

Duggan; 'Davy, how do you feel about your part in that shambles'?
Russell; 'Shocked'
Duggan; 'Is that all you have to say'?
Russell; 'And stunned'

Lesson for all sports bettors; Why would anyone be offering such big odds about a horse that has already won? Those paying close attention knew there was something amiss, and were able to take advantage of others jumping on what appeared to be 'free' money.

'If it looks too good to be true.......

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